
Kyle G
Collecting high quality businesses | I build and manage my portfolio to get 15% CAGR w/ minimal risk | Tweets & threads about timeless principles and analysis.
These things ruin you as a fundamentals-focused investor:
• Utilizing unsustainable growth in models
• Large knowledge gaps
• Ignoring red flags
• High debt
Avoid as many of these as possible.
High-quality businesses and thorough analysis solve most of these problems.
Want to say "no" to low-quality investment ideas in 5 minutes or less?
Then download my FREE Ultimate Guide
http://5minutestono.com
If you're not subscribed to Saturday Multi-bagger ...more
When looking for big multi-baggers, pay close attention to:
• Culture
• Long-term Mindset
Finding out more about the culture of a company is hard to do from reading 10Qs.
Research current and former employees to get a real idea of the company's culture.
Businesses that...
have employees with long tenures are a great sign.
Even better when they openly discuss the future!
For 4 additional less discussed characteristics of 100-baggers read this ⬇️
Long term success in investing requires you limit your losses.
One way to lose money:
High debt.
The three metrics I use to track financial health:
1. Free Cash Flow / Debt
2. Debt / Equity
3. Interest Coverage
Here's why I like these three:
Free Cash Flow / Debt
This is my favorite.
It gives me a simple view of how easily my business can pay off debt with FCF.
Why FCF?
It means the business can pay off debt without taking money away from other important ...more
The perfect destination analysis routine:
• Understand the business
• Understand the market size
• Have an estimated value of the business
• Know what needs to happen to reach the destination
Do these 4 things every day, and you’ll be wildly successful.
What I'll look like when I finally buy Costco $COST
If you're not subscribed to Saturday Multi-bagger Wisdom yet, here's why you should be:
• Frameworks specifically for retail investors
• In-depth guides for improving your stock analysis
• Informative stories weaved easily useable investing lessons
http://thethinkinginvestor.ca
If you're not subscribed to Saturday Multi-bagger Wisdom yet, here's why you should be:
• Frameworks specifically for ...more
What is your definition of success as an investor? What clear objective would you need to hit?
Another great framework for solving panic selling quickly:
• Focus on value over price
• Make conservative evaluations
• Buy when everyone is panic selling
• Disassociate your emotions from decision making
Simple, but not easy.
If you want to:
• Have a better understanding of value
• Stop losing money by overpaying for stocks
• Quickly identify great investing opportunities
Then check out my free course ⬇️⬇️
http://EvaluationDeMystified.com
If you're ...more
4 questions every long-term investor needs to answer while going down the rabbit hole:
• Will they enjoy owning the business?
• Does the business's operations interest them?
• Are they enthusiastic about earnings reports?
• Can you focus on the long-term fundamentals?
If you're not subscribed to Saturday Multi-bagger Wisdom yet, here's why you should be:
• Frameworks specifically for retail investors
• In-depth guides for improving your stock ...more
Awesome compilation of threads.
Never Discount The Importance Of Invested Capital
A business earning additional incremental pretax income means nothing if you aren't taking invested capital into account
If you require $1 billion in capital to increase profits by $10 million, nothing impressive is happening.
This is why ROIC tells you so much about a business's efficiency.
I'm looking for mostly steady and stable ROIC numbers from the past.
I generally prefer a steady 15% over wildly ...more
My 2 criteria for selling a stock:
1. Sell when the price is egregiously overpriced
2. Sell when fundamentals are in secular decline
That's it...
If you want to learn more about this framework ⬇️
https://thethinkinginvestor24.substack.com/p/2-vital-stock-selling-criteria-you
“It amazes me how people are often more willing to act based on little or no data than to use data that is a challenge to assemble.”
― Robert Shiller
If you're not subscribed to Saturday Multi-bagger Wisdom yet, here's why you should be:
• Frameworks specifically for retail investors
• In-depth guides for improving your stock analysis
• Informative stories weaved easily useable investing lessons
http://thethinkinginvestor.ca
My favourite circle of competence quotes:
• "The most important thing in investing is to stay within one's circle of competence." - Warren Buffett
• "If you don't know a business, don't invest in it." - Charlie Munger
• "You don't have to be an expert on every company, or even many. You only have to be able to evaluate industries and the companies within them." - Peter Lynch
Hang these on your wall.
If you're not subscribed to Saturday Multi-bagger Wisdom ...more
Looking forward to listening to this.
“It's not whether you're right or wrong, but how much money you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong.”
― George Soros
If you're not subscribed to Saturday Multi-bagger Wisdom yet, here's why you should be:
• Frameworks specifically for retail investors
• In-depth guides for improving your stock analysis
• Informative stories weaved easily useable investing lessons
http://thethinkinginvestor.ca
Wrapping up Part 2 of my Teqnion analysis this weekend for my Substack subscribers.
I'm currently researching more into their capital allocation skills.
They've done a pretty, pretty, pretty damn good job.
$TEQ.ST
I'm convinced investing for the long-term and analyzing stocks like private businesses is the best advice to live by:
• It leads to long-term success
• It helps you make better investment decisions
• It gives you a deeper understanding of specific businesses
If you want to:
• Have a better understanding of value
• Stop losing money by overpaying for stocks
• Quickly identify great investing opportunities
Then check out my free course ⬇️⬇️
...more
The perfect thinking routine for long-term investors:
• Conducting thorough research
• Setting clear investment goals
• Monitoring fundamentals
• Staying patient
Do these 4 things every day, and you’ll be wildly successful.
If you're not subscribed to Saturday Multi-bagger Wisdom yet, here's why you should be:
• Frameworks specifically for retail investors
• In-depth guides for improving your stock analysis
• Informative stories weaved easily useable investing ...more
7 simple metrics to eliminate 99% of stocks:
Growth In
Revenue > 12-15%
Net Income> 15%
Earnings Per Share >12-15%
Free Cash Flow > 12-15%
Shares Outstanding < 5%
Return on Invested Capital >15%
Total Debt < 2-4x FCF
Here 6 companies that meet these criteria:
1. Teqnion $TEQ.ST
2. Evolution Ab $EVO $EVO.ST $EVVTY
3. Tencent $TCEHY $0700.HK
4. Artizia $ATZ.TO $ATZAF
5. LIFCO $LIFCO-B.ST
6. Copart $CPRT
Remember there are always ...more
The stock market is a wonderful place to partner with the best business managers in the world.
It's like pairing up with peak Lebron for a basketball game, while you ride the pine and let him get the W for you.